Pre-performance American Idol Elimination Odds - April 20, 2011


Before tonight's performances, I thought I would check the bodog.com site for any change in American Idol winning odds, and I noticed they also had the elimination odds. I noticed some interesting changes just from this Monday. Lauren Alaina's odds of winning dropped from 5/2 to 3/1 although she is still firmly in third place to win it all. Casey Abrams also shifted from 10/1 (tied with Haley) to 14/1, and both Jacob Lusk and Stefano Langone also saw their odds change (from 12/1 to 20/1 for Jacob, and from 20/1 to 25/1 for Stefano.)


One interesting thing to note, however, is that the order in their odds to win does not correspond 100% to their odds of being eliminated tonight. The biggest example of this is Haley, who is the #4 contestant to win it all, yet she is also the #2 person to be eliminated this week. I suppose she was in the bottom 3 last week with Stefano, and yet she is still considered more likely to win it all than Casey or Jacob.