American Idol Top 5 Betting Odds


Last night, it was interesting to see how they set up the pairings for the results. With the first two pairs (Elise Testone vs. Jessica Sanchez, Hollie Cavanagh versus Joshua Ledet) it was pretty obvious who would be in the Bottom 3, and it was really the third member of the Bottom 3 that people were unsure who it might be (Elise Testone, Hollie Cavanagh and who?) We found out the answer was Skylar Laine, and she sees the nice trend she was having with her betting odds disappear. After almost approaching Jessica Sanchez as the second favorite, she has now fallen to the fourth most likely winner behind Joshua Ledet on both the Bovada and Pinnacle betting sites. Now, although Hollie Cavanagh is now the far and away highest odds contestant (40:1 and 56:1 odds), Skylar now has the second highest betting odds at (7:1 and 9:1). She is still definitely not as long of a long shot as Hollie, but she loses the nice momentum she had been gaining.
The other contestant who benefited last night besides Joshua was Phillip Phillips, who despite continuing to receive some of the lowest WhatNotToSing scores continues to never land in the Bottom 3.
With the Wednesday night performances ranked by descending "Approval Rating" all the other contestants had one good score (>50) and one bad score (<50) except for Phillip who had a 44 on "The Stone" and a 32 on "Fat Bottomed Girls". If you average the two WNTS scores for the night for all contestants the rank ends up:

1) Jessica: (77, 46) 61.5
2) Hollie: (79, 38) 58.5
3) Elise: ( 70, 43) 56.5
4) Skylar: (66, 39) 52.5
5) Joshua: (71, 30) 50.5
6) Phillip : (44, 32) 38

All the other contestants averaged between 50 and 62 except Phillip who averaged a sad 38. In fact the Bottom 3 this week had the 2nd, 3rd and 4th highest average WNTS ratings for the week. It is obviously not a good predictor this week!