Hits Daily Double Estimates 'Clear As Day' Sales Drop... Not at all?

Going from week #4 to #5 you would expect a normal album to lose a little bit of sales steam if there is no special promotion besides the latest single being spun more on radio and the latest music video continuing to be played on CMT. But Scotty McCreery never seems to follow "normal" sales patterns, and he does it again this week. Hits Daily Double predicts his "Clear As Day" album will sell another 40K to 45K more copies which is either a 5% drop or... a 5% gain? Huh? Are they reporting the estimate from last week? And this is before he is performing on the CMA Awards, not afterwards. Wow, this guy simply cannot stop selling! I updated my sales graph using the bottom of the estimate (40K) which puts him at 424K after 5 weeks. Amazingly this will still keep his sales slightly above Adam Lambert's curve two years ago, and Adam's 5th week was the week before Christmas when he sold 62K albums. (In Adam's 6th week he sold 17K.) Adam was at 417K after 5 weeks which was pretty impressive at that point and made his gold status pretty much inevitable. Scotty's 40-45K number also firmly plants him at #2 on the BillBoard Country Album chart behind Miranda Lambert's "Four The Record" (130-140K) since Toby Keith's "Clancy's Tavern" sales are estimated to drop to 27-30K. So that is three #1's and two #2's on the country album chart for "Clear As Day". That means after five weeks the lowest he has been on the country charts is #2! Can we say "wow" one more time?

For Lauren's "Wildflower" sales number on this graph, we know she is below both Lady Antebellum (27-30K) and Lil Wayne (24-27K) this week, and as a low ball estimate I put down 12K in sales (a 25% drop from her 16K this week) for her to add to my graph which would put her at 123K total after 4 weeks. That may not look so impressive compared to Scotty's numbers, but if you compare it to Martina McBride's "Eleven" which released on the same day, Martina only had sales of 66K after 3 weeks and will likely still stay under 80K after 4 weeks. That means Lauren's album will likely have sold 50% more albums than the current release by the incomparable, multi-platinum selling Martina McBride. "Wildflower" is on sale right now as a MP3 download for only $4.99 at Amazon MP3, so now is a good time to purchase it if you have not already. I bought it when it was $7.99 for the download, but I think the extra $3 was worth it to hear it a few weeks earlier.