Pre-Performance Odds Check


Since tonight is a performance night (Elton John night!), I thought I would check bodog.com to see if the Vegas odds had changed for anybody since Friday. March 25. There have been some slight changes but not too much. Pia Toscano's odds have actually gone down as the front runner from 5/2 last Friday to just 2/1 right now. I am not sure what has happened to make her an even stronger favorite at the moment. The overall rankings by the odds makers have not changed, but Naima Adedapo seems to have lost her edge over Haley Reinhart as they are both now 50/1 long shots. The only other change since Friday is for Scotty McCreery whose odds changed slightly from 4/1 to 9/2, but still keeps him as the sole 3rd favorite. Here are the Vegas odds in my bar chart:

My next statistic to check are Twitter and Facebook numbers, but instead of the just taking the absolute numbers of total followers and fans, I will find the net gain since I last grabbed the numbers on March 14. This should show how many new people in the last 2 1/2 weeks decided to follow the contestants which should demonstrate their current popularity. The most amazing statistic here is that Scotty continues to dominate in both the total number of new Twitter followers (22,719) and the total number of new Facebook fans (17,659). Scotty had over 40,000 new followers and fans in the past 16 days which is more than four of the other contestants have in total (Stefano, Jacob, Haley and Naima.)
 It will be interesting to see how the numbers will change after tonights performances. The folks at the bottom of the odds and the social media counts will have to make some great performances to stay out of the bottom. With no saves available and two folks leaving tomorrow, it is all on the line now!