American Idol WhatNotToSing Ratings - Top 13 to Finale


My favorite American Idol rating site, WhatNotToSing.com, has posted the preliminary results for the web ratings for the performances of Jessica Sanchez and Phillip Phillips from the Season 11 Finale performance round. In my lovely graph I have broken the night into two points, the first two songs which I averaged together, and then the winners single.
For the first two rounds, Jessica received a 48 for "I Have Nothing" and then a 84 for "The Prayer" which averaged to a 66. Personally I would have ranked "I Have Nothing" a little higher and "The Prayer" a little lower, but I still would have come up with a average rating in the 60's myself. Phillip received a 33 for "Stand By Me" and a 50 for "Movin Out" which averages to a 41.5 which also sounds about right to me. However, it all came down to the "winner's single" where Phillip received one that matched him well, so along with the "big" stage production and everything else he received a WNTS rating of 76 whereas Jessica's fine performance of her rather bland song "Change Nothing" received a lowly 26. For Jessica to have won the competition, I think it all came down to that final song, and she was not given good enough material to win. I would be curious to see what other choices she had for the winner's song.

Now that it is morning I was curious to see how the DialIdol busy percentages changed since Jessica always has a late night "west coast surge":
Sure enough Jessica's busy signal percentage has moved a lot closer to Phillip's numbers, but still trails him by a significant amount. Last night Phillips my 10:00pm snapshot had Phillip at 22.43%, 19.74%, 19.09% and 17.36% (average =  19.65%), and Jessica at 15.59%, 15.55%, 13.92% and 11.92% (average = 14.24%). The final tally has Phillip at 17.37%, 16.37%, 14.39% and 13.7% (average = 15.45%) and Jessica at 15.13%, 14.38%, 13.48% and 12.21% (average = 13.8%). DialIdol has the busy percentages for all the Finales since Season 4, and this is the first time ever the winner has not had all the top busiest phone lines. If you compare the final average busy percentages I can generate, that right, a chart!

Season 4: Carrie 75.51%, Bo 72.88%
Season 5: Taylor (82.3, 82.09, 82.08) = 82.2%, Kat (66.8, 66.13, 65.07) = 66.0%
Season 6: Jordan (49.82, 49.3, 46.92) = 48.7%, Blake (34.77, 31.46, 31.2) = 32.5%
Season 7: DC (44.1, 43.96, 43.47) = 43.8%, DA (32.43, 30.17, 29.1) = 30.6%
Season 8: Kris (49.28,48.82, 47.22) = 48.4%, Adam (43.51,42.94, 42.31) = 42.9%
Season 9: Lee (7.67, 6.74, 5.46) = 6.62%, Crystal (4.23, 3.63, 3.08) = 3.64%
Season 10: Scotty (16.44,16.01,12.83,12.04) = 14.3%, Lauren (9.58,8.6,7.92,7.74) = 8.5%
Season 11: Phillip = 15.45%, Jessica = 13.8%

In all previous seasons the contestant with the busier line always ended up being the winner, so I am guessing it will be the same this year. However, this is the closest year it has been in terms of busy percentages since Season 4 between Carrie and Bo. Here is a graph of how much busier the winner's lines were compared to the runner-up:
This year Phillip's lines were less than 11% busier than Jessica's which is the closest since Season 4 when Carrie's were only 4% busier. Season 8 was close when Kris's lines were only 12% busier than Adam's as well, so this season the voting may be closer than we think.