New American Idol Betting Odds after the 'Shocking Results' from Last Night

There is nothing like some good drama to shake up the American Idol betting odds! This year is even more interesting than last year since this year the 'shocking elimination' was not an elimination but a save, so the saved front runner can remain in the competition. Of course, I mean Jessica Sanchez this year compared to Pia Toscano last year. Neither had been in the bottom 3 before their 'shocking elimination', but since the judges still had the save this year (as opposed to wasting it on Casey Abrams last year), Jessica can stay in the competition. The interesting thing is she is still the most likely female in the competition to win the whole thing, but now she has slipped into being the third most likely winner behind Colton Dixon and Phillip Phillips in the betting odds. Both Pinnacle Sports and Bovada have updated their odds so I could pull some new numbers and generate new charts:

My logarithmic trend plot is most interesting since we can now see how the odds have changed from March 5 until today April 13 (Friday the 13th!) Jessica and Phillip were the two most likely to win back in early March, but with Phillip's weekly Dave Matthews impersonations and Jessica's being the lowest vote receiver last night, Colton has slowed made his way to be the most likely winner. Being in the Bottom 3 also did not help Joshua Ledet or Elise Testone, neither of which now has much of a chance of winning the competition. Joshua now slips behind Skylar in the betting odds, and Elise and Hollie are now battling it out to be the long shot. Bovada now has both Holie and Elise as 30:1 long shots and Pinnacle Sports has them both at 46:1. I was pretty amazed that Elise was in the Bottom 3 after performing last on Wednesday, but it appears like that did not help. My guess is she is the most likely one to leave next week after now being in the Bottom 3 two weeks in a row.

So it now appears that Colton Dixon will likely win American Idol Season 11. Can anyone else possibly gather up enough votes to beat him? With both Phillip and Jessica on a downward trend, and everyone else having been in the Bottom 3 at least once, I cannot see there being much competition.