American Idol Betting Odds Continue to Change with Pinnacle Odds

 

The Pinnacle Sports betting odds tend to be more precise than the Bovada odds so I was glad to see their odds for the Final 7 of American Idol. Like the Bovada odds, Jessica Sanchez is now the odds on favorite (at 2.70:1 versus 2.0:1 at Bovada), but they still have Phillip Phillips as the number 2 favorite at 2.73:1. If you average his two odds (2.5:1 on Bovada and 2.73:1 on Pinnacle = 2.615:1 average) Phillip's are still lower than Colton Dixon's (2.25:1 on Bovada and 4.12:1 on Pinnacle = 3.185:1 average).
If we take the same data points and plot them together as a line plot with a logarithmic scale over time we can compare the trend in betting odds as they have changed over the past month. Phillip and Jessica have been battling it out to be the odds on favorite, and it appears Jessica is currently winning. Colton Dixon has had the most consistent improvement in odds and now he is closing in on Phillip and Jessica to be the favorite. The most overall consistent contestant not in the Top 2 has been Joshua Ledet whose odds have stayed between 5:1 and 20:1 for the whole month and who is the official "middle of the pack" pick. Skylar Laine is now tracking closely behind Joshua's odds now after being one of the Top 3 favorites in early March. The two most in trouble are the other two who were with DeAndre in the Bottom 3 last week, Elise Testone and Hollie Cavanagh. Elise had come back strong with a couple strong weeks, but now she looks like one of the two might likely to leave the competition. Hollie's odds had been improving in the middle of March but now her odds of winning are fading faster than Elise's. She is the Pinnacle long shot now with odds of winning of 46:1. Without Heejun and DeAndre around, she will likely be the one leaving next if she cannot pick up a lot of new votes.